Scenario 2: Africa unites then follows China in the implementation of Market policies.

Following what was advocated by Marcus Garvey (first introduced the idea of a United States of Africa in a poem in 1924), Kwame Nkrumah (the first Prime Minister of Ghana), and Muammar Ghadafi (leader of Libya), a dictator from a major African ethnic group emerges in Africa and works to establish a United States of Africa. Utilizing the resources of the African Union, this dictator wages a war of both guns and diplomacy to bring together this dream of a unified Africa. While hundreds of thousands die in the consolidation of African lands, a pledge to the United States to fight Islamic Terrorism keeps the one superpower willing to act against this new state out. Utilizing the policies of a Command economy and following Stalin’s first five year plans, this dictator establishes industrialization throughout this new African nation and consolidates the once sporadic resources of each smaller nation into a well run continental economy. Once industrialization has taken place, market economic principles are mixed with the command economy principles in a form similar to China, creating a producing powerhouse that sends goods to China, Europe, and the United States at cheap prices.

The substantial consumer goods industry that develops in this new African nation leads to an influx of money not just for the government but for the average African citizen, leading to a steady decrease in poverty and effective fighting of diseases and other social crises that currently exist in Africa today. The massive industrialization and exploitation of the resources however eventually leads to a collapse of this economy within a few generations as natural resources are used up at a rate in which they can’t be replenished and demand eclipses supply and supply steadily drops off. The near complete destruction of the African rain forests contributes greatly to the progression of global warming and takes away from a key way to fight off its progression. As the African industry tapers off, so will the money supply to its industry, leading to a resurgence in social degradation and eventual collapse of the regime should military might be insufficient enough to quell the problems that arise with an ethnically and religiously diverse society.