Security Threat: North Korea

  Six Party Delegates
  Scenario 3

   Unfortunately for the North Korean people, Kim Jung Il is unlikely to completely follow through with its “agreed” nuclear disarmament. Following lengthy six-party talks in Beijing involving North and South Korea, the United States, Japan, Russia and China, Pyongyang agreed that by the end of 2007 it would have disabled its main nuclear facilities, a term meaning crippling the plants, but short of outright destruction. North Korea also agreed to fully disclose all its atomic activities by the end of the year. In exchange, the impoverished North will receive 1 million tons of heavy fuel oil or equivalent aid. The United States will also move towards taking North Korea off a U.S. terrorism blacklist. A U.S. team of inspectors has even been granted access to oversee the disabling of North Koreas nuclear hub. However, in 2000, 2003, 2005 and early 2006, North Korea has back out of similar agreements, allowing for food and economic aid to trickle inside the nation without conceding to international demands. While North Korea may appear to cooperating, it is likely they will continue to follow a similar trend of teasing the international community. Former UN delegate John Bolton has warned a disabled nuclear North Korea, is not a dismantled North Korea and will only enable North Korea to have continued leverage. After North Korea agreed to the concession at the 6 party talks, The United Nations General Assembly passed a resolution urging North Korea and South Korea to continue to seek peace. The General Assembly may be to hasty in its resolution, as North Korea will likely back out of its reposnabity to disarm, a precedent already set by Kim Jung il and his oppressive regime. However, North Korea

 


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Created by: Ryan Flowers
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