Solution to Problem 180


No correct solutions were received for this problem.  

The sketch above summarizes the situation.  The leaves begins at B.  Let Ak, Bk ,..., Hk, denote the percent of leaves in the various yards at time k.  The following relations then hold:

Ak = Ak-1 + .3Bk-1
Bk
= .3Dk-1
Ck
= .1Bk-1 + Ck-1
D
k
= .6Bk-1 + .3Fk-1
Ek
= .1Dk-1 + Ek-1
Fk
= .6Dk-1
Gk
= .1Fk-1 + Gk-1
Fk
= .6Fk-1 + Hk-1

We also have the starting conditions B0 = 1, A0 = C0 = D0 = E0 = F0 = G0 = H0 = 0, that is, 100% of the leaves start in yard A.  We are looking for the "limit" of these equations as k ® ¥. Let M and vk be the following matrices. 

M 1 .3 0 0 0 0 0 0 ,       vk =  Ak .
0 0 0 .3 0 0 0 0 Bk
0 .1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Ck
0 .6 0 0 0 .3 0 0 Dk
0 0 0 .1 1 0 0 0 Ek
0 0 0 .6 0 0 0 0 Fk
0 0 0 0 0 .1 1 0 Gk
0 0 0 0 0 .6 0 1 Hk

Then M vk-1 = v and inductively Mk v0 = vk .  We need to find limk ® ¥ Mk. Using any reasonably powerful calculator, you can compute that 

M100 v 0.384375 ,
0
.128125
0
.09375
0
.05625
.3375

and the numbers are stationary at that point.  (There are more rigorous ways of doing this computation, but they all yield the same result.)  The percent that doesn't turn to mulch is therefore 0.384375 + .3375 = 0.721875.

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2006 Alberto L. Delgado